Is the PC Dead?

Nancy Anderson
Posted by in Technology •


Are we witnessing the end of the personal computer? Sales of consumer PCs continued the trend of quarter-on-quarter declines during the third quarter of 2016, and the tech world is on notice. Does this mean we've abandoned use of home desktop computers? Not quite, say industry analysts.

Statistics

For the first time ever in the computer industry, sales of consumer PCs fell for two straight years. These are machines that people buy for their homes — as opposed to businesses — that need to upgrade their computing power. Sales of new personal computers fell between 4 and 6 percent during the third quarter of 2016.

The main reason for the downturn comes from consumers. Most people who own personal electronics in developed countries have three types of devices, and consumer PCs are lowest on the list in terms of buying upgrades. In a survey of 550 consumers conducted in early 2016 and published by Creative Strategies, just 12 percent said they bought a new PC in 2015. A whopping 62 percent, nearly two-thirds of respondents, said they have no intention of buying new PCs over the next 12 months.

Identifying Problems

There are several reasons why statistics point to a decline in sales of consumer PCs. Back in 2014, Microsoft released its Windows 8 operating system. Because this new system included touchscreen capabilities for mobile devices, it raised the overall price of the system. When the price of Windows 8 went up, so did the price of personal computers.

At the same time Microsoft released its upgraded operating system, mobile devices and tablet computers took over the market. While the average price for a new computer started at $500 in 2013, a smartphone was just $99. The average price of a tablet computer was between $200 and $300.

Further, there is a perception that all of the fun things consumers do happen on smartphones or tablet computers. Games, shopping, watching videos, reading the news and checking social media channels all happen in the palm of someone's hand. Consumer PCs are designed for work-related tasks such as file management and taxes.

Another issue with personal computers and declining sales involves the lifespan of these devices. Instead of buying new computers, people decide to upgrade to new systems and install new memory. Rather than buying a new PC every three to four years, many consumers opt to wait six or more years to purchase new computers.

With cloud-based storage taking over for on-site memory, PCs just need better modem speeds and data transmission as opposed to entirely new hardware. Home computers might need better ways to talk to other computers rather than full replacements.

Consumer PCs aren't going away any time soon. Gamers in particular love high-end machines that take online gaming to new levels. Rather than replacing their computers the way they do with smartphones and tablets, computer users update and upgrade their PCs. The machines aren't disappearing from homes; their owners just don't replace them as frequently as they once did.


Photo courtesy of Alan Light at Flickr.com
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  • Nancy Anderson
    Nancy Anderson •

    @David thank you for your comment. SO very true. I use a top of the line desktop PC and I love it. I did break down and buy a new one this year but only because my old one just wasn't doing the job - after about 8 years of using it. I held off buying one until Windows 10 had been out for awhile and many of the bugs had been resolved. Now I love it. Totally agree about hand-held devices. It amazes me how many people job hunt on their cellphones. I would get frustrated because it would be too slow for me. PCs are not dead for me either!

  • David D.
    David D. •

    No the PC is not dead. The problem is that relatively nothing new has been introduced in the market in quite a while. Most PC's are operating in the 2-4Ghz range and no new speed increases are needed or expected in the near future. Currently the trend is to produce cpu's with more cores instead of higher operational speeds. In this fashion they can compute faster while maintaining the same operational speeds and more cores facilitates the ever growing technology of virtualization. Let's face it PC's are fast enough to do what we want them to do and let's face it handhelds just can't compete with the full functionality of a PC at least not in the immediate future. Most PC owners are holding off purchasing a new expensive piece of hardware in the current economy and why bother when the current PC works just fine and does what is required of it. Eventually there will be a paradigm shift and you will see faster sleeker PC's running multiple CPU's with multiple cores at blazing speeds with super fast memory and lots of it as well as superfast graphics supporting machine virtualization (VM) and intense applications such as realistic virtual reality (VR). Can you imagine an Internet in realistic VR? Once those technologies present themselves there will be a need for the hardware to progress and then you will see a resurgence of sales in this sector. Don't forget that the network transformation is shifted towards IPV6, which is a quantum leap in internetworking in and of itself! These things are way to powerful for the current selection of handhelds and tablets but that may change in 15 to 20 years.

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